To complete my
theory of the inability of the Jews to maintain their own state over time, I
shall try to predict the end of the Jewish state.
As said in previous
posts, the damage was done by the tendency that is burnt deeply into the Jewish
communal culture to ignore and break rules and limits of any kind and go to the
end and beyond it in defending the survival of Judaism and the victory over its
enemies.
Life without
law and without limits, do not allow for reasonable government systems to function.
It defies the ability of management the state and brings chaos to the country's
society and severely undermines the connection between the citizens and their
state.
Take for
example the military and security establishment. Obviously, if this system had
weakened considerably, the Arab states that surround us would not hesitate to
attack and occupy the country. Yet this military system has long forgotten this
simple fact. It is disconnected from the rest of the governing systems. It
detached itself from any external supervision. It is not subject to any
monitoring of its budget and manages its own life. Accordance with the common trends
in the Israeli society, the security personnel take care, first of all, of padding
themselves with generous budgets and try to improve their own benefits and put it
beyond the importance of any other purpose. The top security system commanders have
become very political and the progress in the ranking hierarchy is not related
to the professional capabilities, but to the elbowing and manipulation capabilities.
Some of these generals have recently joint the political system. Once they step
out of the security system, they are exposed as medium level or lower type of politicians.
Ehud Barak, Mofaz, Matan Vilnai, Dichter, Dan Halutz, Diskin, Ya'alon and Gabi
Ashkenazi. Yossi Sarid recently called them in his column: "dummies".
In fact, they are probably not stupid people, but they seem to be people
without any backbone or compass. They are desperately trying to be popular by doing
excessive and ridiculous use of the common clichés, without giving any hint for
existence of opinion of their own. They are very strong, however, in throwing slime
at anyone who opposes them.
In this sad
reality of the military leadership, it is clear that people from the middle
class and above, refrain from sending their children to combat units. Why would
anyone want to risk his son, given the poor decision-making system exposed in
the Second Lebanon War, for example? Nobody is too enthusiastic about chasing
stone-throwers in the territories, either. Instead, the boys are sent to the computing
and technical units, which keep growing in size. The boys acquire a good
profession there and when they are released, they gladly join the top earners
in the hi-tech market. Besides the computer units, there are many more home front
units, like the speaker unit and other propaganda and media bodies. The combat
units are filled by the peripheral populations: first - the settlers community,
then the Russian immigrants, the kibbutz's and moshav's and the developed towns.
Dr. Yagil Levy studied the subject and published the book "From The People's
Army to The Peripheral Army". It did not get wide headlines in the media that
makes sure to publish stable recruitment percentages in the big cities. For some reason they do
not talk about the percentages of recruitment to the combat units.
This trend of
the military detachment from the elite populations will surely bring a
significant decline in motivation of the armed forces. The loyalty of the major
supplier of quality personnel to the combat units - the settlers community and
national-religious community, is loyal to "Judaism" and not to the
state. Also, they do not come from a culture of courage and daring.
In addition to
the above, the security and military systems are immune from criticism. The military
experts and commentators, some coming from these systems, are not loyal to
their profession as journalists, but rather to the object of their writing. The
public also will not, mostly, want to hear a bad word about the security
system. This prevents exposure of flaws and inefficiencies in the system.
In the coming
years we will see a growing deterioration of the army's and its commanders capabilities.
Perhaps at some point Israel will switch from compulsory army into a
professional army, but such a move would only formalize the process that already
happens in reality.
Hence, a
scenario of the army, losing its deterrence against the Arab armies is not so
far away.
In the following
posts, two other catastrophe scenarios will be discussed: Economic collapse and
disintegration of the society.
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